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Mumbai office demand likely to jump sharply, seen growing 12-15 pc annually through 2030: Report

Mumbai, Sep 9 (IANS) Mumbai’s office real estate market is poised for a significant expansion over the next four years, with office demand projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12–15 per cent between 2027 and 2030, a new report said on Wednesday.

The projected growth marks a significant jump from Mumbai’s average annual office leasing of around 11.8 million sq. ft. recorded during 2022-2026 (estimated), according to the India Mid-Year Market Outlook FY2027 released at the CII Real Estate Summit 2026 in Mumbai.

The city’s total office stock is also projected to grow 1.3 times by 2030, underlining the scale of expansion expected in the commercial real estate market.

According to the CBRE Research report, Mumbai accounted for approximately 16 per cent of India’s national office inventory as of the first half of 2026. Demand over the next four years is expected to be led primarily by the banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI), technology and flexible workspace segments, supported by an influx of investment-grade supply and a broader occupier base.

The report said infrastructure-led decentralisation is widening Mumbai’s commercial map, with improved metro, rail, road and airport connectivity expected to support the emergence of new business districts and growth corridors across the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR).

The residential segment is also expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with sales projected to rise at a CAGR of 6–8 per cent between 2027 and 2030. Residential stock is estimated to expand 1.5 times by 2030. Infrastructure-led demand, premium housing and new residential corridors across the MMR are expected to remain key growth drivers, while transit-led development and urban regeneration through slum rehabilitation could generate significant new supply.

The industrial and logistics segment is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5–8 per cent through 2030. Mumbai currently accounts for around 25 per cent of India’s industrial and logistics inventory, the largest share among the core sectors covered in the report. Growth is expected to be supported by infrastructure upgrades, institutionalised industrial parks and rising demand from e-commerce, third-party logistics and industrial occupiers.

Retail is expected to emerge as the fastest-growing segment among those covered in the report, with demand projected to increase at a CAGR of 14–17 per cent between 2027 and 2030. Its total stock is estimated to grow 1.6 times by 2030, while Mumbai currently accounts for around 20 per cent of the national retail inventory.

CBRE said Mumbai’s transformation over the next five years would be driven by mobility infrastructure, including metro, rail, roads and airport connectivity, along with redevelopment, new business districts, housing and transit-oriented growth.

Vir S. Advani said Mumbai’s future growth should not be viewed as a choice between redevelopment and greenfield development, but as an opportunity to direct investment towards areas creating the greatest economic and social value.

Deepak Parekh said Mumbai’s strong housing demand, combined with redevelopment and new development opportunities, could transform the city over the next five years.

Atul Ruia said stronger infrastructure, metro connectivity and new development opportunities were opening the door to a new phase of growth for Mumbai.

–IANS

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