Jaipur, July 14 (IANS) The Southwest Monsoon has weakened across Rajasthan, and the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast largely dry weather over the next week, with no significant rainfall expected across most parts of the state. According to the Jaipur Meteorological Centre, weather conditions remained mostly dry during the past 24 hours, although strong winds were reported from a few locations.
Phalodi recorded the state’s highest maximum temperature at 41 degree Celsius, while Ajmer registered the lowest minimum temperature at 24.9 degree Celsius.
The IMD has forecast predominantly dry weather across most districts of the Jodhpur and Bikaner divisions in western Rajasthan for the next seven days.
In eastern Rajasthan, weather is expected to remain largely dry for the next five to six days. However, isolated light rainfall is likely in Bikaner, Sri Ganganagar, Hanumangarh, Churu, and adjoining areas on July 14 and 15. Parts of the Udaipur division may also receive scattered showers on July 16 and 17.
Meanwhile, gusty dust-laden winds with speeds of 30–40 kmph are expected over several parts of the Jodhpur and Bikaner divisions during the next two to three days.
According to the IMD, the current dry spell is the result of a weak monsoon circulation and the absence of any active upper-air weather systems. Although the Southwest Monsoon has covered Rajasthan, the atmospheric conditions required to produce widespread rainfall are currently missing.
The Jaipur Meteorological Centre expects the monsoon to remain weak across the state for about another week. Meteorologists, however, indicate that a fresh low-pressure system is likely to develop over the Bay of Bengal around July 20.
Once the system strengthens and moves inland, it could revive monsoon activity over Rajasthan, increasing rainfall across several districts. The expected revival would provide much-needed relief from heat and humidity while benefiting the ongoing kharif cropping season.
The Southwest Monsoon reached Rajasthan on July 2, 2026, seven days later than its normal onset. It is the eighth instance in the past 27 years that the monsoon has entered the state in July.
The previous time it arrived on July 2 was in 2019. According to long-term IMD records covering 1901–2025, Rajasthan recorded its wettest monsoon in 1917, when the state received 844.2 mm of rainfall, about 94 per cent above the seasonal normal.
The 2025 monsoon season ranked as the second wettest on record, with 715.9 mm of rainfall. Rajasthan’s long-term average seasonal rainfall stands at 435.6 mm.
–IANS
arc/rad