India

Mumbai, Aug 30 (IANS) India seems to be enjoying the 'There Is No Alternative' (TINA) factor, as globally all countries are facing the churn and India seems to the best placed jurisdiction in terms of growth and inflation outlook in FY23, according to the SBI Ecowrap report.

This optimism is because China is also facing a bleak outlook on the back of a construction sector meltdown. In fact, report believes that the China story may now be facing clear headwinds and India is likely to benefit from such stark realities over the longer term.

The trends in prices of both retail and commercial real estate in China now show much deeper structural adjustment. The long-term trends in retail prices show that since 2016, prices have been steadily declining along the linear trend.

In 2022, even the nominal price index has witnessed degrowth which is a worrying sign. The real price index growth has been in negative growth since December 2021. Home sales in China have fallen for 11 months in a row, official data shows. That is the longest slump since China created a private property market in the late 1990s.

Chinese demographers are now predicting that negative population growth in China will be the dominant trend in the coming years for a long time and improving the overall quality of the population and changing economic development plans are vital to address the problem.

With ageing, size of the family will gradually shrink. The housing demand will eventually decline in the long run in China as seen in Japan. The future outlook of the construction sector in China over the long run structural factors such as demographic ageing and rebalancing of economy will eventually remove a substantial portion of demand.

India is likely to be the beneficiary as China slows down in terms of new investment intentions.

Since the default by Evergrande group, once hailed as the toast of Chinese infrastructure resurgence, the financial situation of the construction sector in China has steadily moved southwards.

The debt default by Evergrande group spread to other large and mid-tier construction companies. Listed developers' share prices have fallen US$55 billion during 2022, while the sector's dollar notes have fallen by more than US$35 billion. Bank loans to the real estate sector have dropped for the first time in 10 years.

--IANS
msn/dpb

New Delhi, Aug 30 (IANS) Union Home Minister Amit Shah will be visiting Delhi Police Headquarters on Tuesday, said officials.

However, his programme which was scheduled to take place at Adarsh Auditorium in the police headquarters has been cancelled.

Shah had planned to meet Delhi Police Commissioner Sanjay Arora, to felicitate police personnel and to discuss the national security action plan of 2024 and about the security arrangements made available for the G-20 summit.

"The programme of UHM to PHQ stands, however due to paucity of time the programme scheduled in Adarsh Auditorium stands cancelled," the Police Headquarters said.

Shah was all set to felicitate a number of police personnel, who won medals during the Commonwealth Games, national-level competitions and in World Police Fire Games.

"Mainly four points had to be discussed, of which the first was regarding the 2024 action plan to make the national capital a safe place. Second was security arrangements for the G-20 summit which is being monitored by Shah. Focus was on forensic and other related things. The police personnel, who have won laurels, were to be felicitated by Mr Shah," the official said.

The Union Home Minister wants the Delhi Police to focus on more forensic evidence to prove their cases before the concerned courts. In this respect, Delhi Police Commissioner Sanjay Arora was all set to brief Shah and would also convey to him about the need of equipment.

"We will tell UHM about the need for their own lab like the Central Bureau of Investigation. This is the main point to be briefed to Mr Shah which would give us more strength," the official said.

Both the Delhi Police Commissioner and the Union Home Minister are likely to discuss other sensational crime cases as well, including the Jahangirpuri case. This was their first official meeting.

--IANS
atk/dpb

New Delhi, Aug 30 (IANS) Union Home Minister Amit Shah's visit to the Delhi Police headquarters on Tuesday has been cancelled due to "unavoidable reasons", Police Headquarters said.

Shah was scheduled to visit the police headquarters to discuss national security, the action plan for 2024, and the security arrangements made available for the G-20 summit.

He also was to felicitate a number of police personnel, who won medals during the Commonwealth Games, national-level competitions and in World Police Fire Games.

--IANS
atk/shs